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Author Topic: Enhancer Signals - Pure supply and demand signals  (Read 1294 times)

Offline donnaforex

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Enhancer Signals - Pure supply and demand signals
« on: September 28, 2016, 02:07:19 PM »
Please welcome Enhancer Signals to the forum - a representative will be on the forum to answer any questions or comments you have about this service. If you already use this service please leave your feedback and share your experiences to help other forum members.

If you do visit the Enhancer Signals website, please consider using our affiliate link: https://www.enhancersignals.com/?atid=1512 Affiliate commission helps pay towards our server costs as well as helps me to do more to help you. This service does have a free 30 day trail available. Alternatively, here is a plain non-affiliate link: http://www.enhancersignals.com

The seller has provided the below information about their service:

- General self-description: Pure Supply and Demand Signals - The Institutional version of real "support and resistance"
- Offer: 30 Day Free Trial - Full unrestricted membership. Includes instant access to Signal Panels with all current signals, all past trades (with the original signals and their screenshots, trade results with their screenshots and result commentary). (Easy free-trial cancellation, no obligations)
- Collection of Educational articles about Supply and Demand trading, freely accessible material
- Access to support-ticket system

Supply and Demand trading is about:
- Plain chart trading by price action - NO arbitrary tools like indicators, oscillators, bots or EAs. Only objective market information used.
- Identification of Supply/Demand imbalance areas
- Anticipation of market reactions to these areas much in advance, then entering the trade when price returns to the pre-identified level for the first time after its creation
- Low-risk high-probability trade entries in the direction of a Supply/Demand imbalance
« Last Edit: September 28, 2016, 02:47:48 PM by donnaforex »
Follow DonnaForex on Facebook and Twitter.<br>If you need to contact me, email admin@donnaforex.com or Skype 'donnaforex' or PM via the forum.

Offline EnhancerSignals-PR

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Re: Enhancer Signals - Pure supply and demand signals
« Reply #1 on: September 29, 2016, 12:00:21 PM »
Thank you Donna,

We will soon post some of our latest trades with their original signal material including screenshots. All past trade material, and of course all our current signals, remain always accessible to members even during the 30-day Free Trial period.

We always welcome all questions and member feedback, both here in the forum and by using our dedicated ticket support system in our Member Area.

Happy trading,
The Enhancer Signals team

Offline EnhancerSignals-PR

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Supply and Demand trading report by EnhancerSignals 2016-10-01
« Reply #2 on: October 02, 2016, 01:03:59 PM »
We will start by posting a sample of our signal reports that our users can view in their Member Area. This one includes the result screenshot and commentary that are added when a trade is closed. We maintain a complete trade journal with the all the original Signal details for members to review. All currently active Signals have similar reports and are always accessible in our Signal Panel. Here is a sample report of a recent trade we enjoyed:

Result Commentary GBPAUD - closed 10 September 2016
An excellent trade that produced more than a 4:1 reward ratio, despite lacking entry precision. The market managed to reach deep into the level (possibly due to the minor last-moment supply speed-bump that was created just above our level while price was returning to it), but then reversed sharply and kept running in our favor until the end of the week. Cutting the upper wicks tightened our entry and improved our reward ratio and final profit, but the minor supply speed-bump was a reason to take some small early partial profit out of the market in case it proved to be stronger than expected. Overall the trade exceeded our expectations by producing such a large move in just around 1.5 days.

Signal Details:
Pair: GBPAUD
Published to subscribers: 2016-09-03, 16:06 UTC
Supply / Demand: Demand
Natural timeframe: 4H
Likely market reaction (Bounce / Normal): Bounce / Normal, continuation
Upper level boundary with wicks: 1.7322 (preferred), or 1.7343 (includes 1H wicks)
Lower level boundary with wicks: 1.7260
Level visible on chart near (UTC): 2016-08-29 8PM UTC

Original Signal Screenshot: GBPAUD 4H


Result:
Pips made available (from theoretical best entry): 349
Realistic likely result (gain range in pips): 180 to 260
Overall trade performance: Excellent

Result screenshot: GBPAUD 4H

Offline EnhancerSignals-PR

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Re: Enhancer Signals - Pure supply and demand signals
« Reply #3 on: October 02, 2016, 01:14:37 PM »
Below you can find our weekly overview of results, an extra report that we send by email to our members. This is just a collection of the weekly result screenshots and their associated numbers. Members already have access to all the detailed past reports (even during the 30-Day Free Trial). So this is just an overview of what we achieved during the last week.

This week we had 4 good trades, 1 below average (still positive outcome), and 1 which ended the week near the level and is pending a re-entry next week.

INTRO NOTE:
It is important to understand that we identified and published all these Supply/Demand imbalance levels much in advance (days or even weeks before price returned), then we waited for price to return to the imbalance level and obtained our low-risk high-probability trade entries. All these entries had something in common, they took the opposite side of novice traders that were making an important mistake: they were selling just above a Demand level or Buying just below a Supply level. As Supply and Demand traders, we were waiting for price to reach these pre-identified imbalance levels and took the other side of these novice trades. We bought just above Demand, or Sold just below Supply.

Please visit the result commentary section for all past signal details, and your Signal Panel in order to view which levels are currently active (waiting for price to return). On average we have 3 to 5 of these levels triggered per week.

Result screenshot: EURNZD 4H
signal-2016-09-25-16-03-eurnzd

Pips made available (from theoretical best entry): 163
Realistic likely result (gain range in pips): 70 to 100
Overall trade performance: Good


Result screenshot: EURCAD 4H
signal-2016-09-25-16-24-eurcad

Pips made available (from theoretical best entry): 146
Realistic likely result (gain range in pips): 60 to 90
Overall trade performance: Good


Result screenshot: NZDCAD 1H (Zoom into details)
signal-2016-09-29-12-53-nzdcad

Pips made available (from theoretical best entry): 50
Realistic likely result (gain range in pips): 20 to 35
Overall trade performance: Below average


Result screenshot: EURJPY 1H (Zoom into details)
signal-2016-09-29-08-39-eurjpy

Pips made available (from theoretical best entry): 113
Realistic likely result (gain range in pips): 60 to 80
Overall trade performance: Good


Original Signal Screenshot: AUDCAD 1D (Pending re-entry)
signal-2016-09-28-13-37-audcad

Pips made available (from theoretical best entry): ***PENDING***
Realistic likely result (gain range in pips): ***PENDING***
Overall trade performance: ***PENDING***


Result screenshot: CADJPY 4H
signal-2016-09-29-09-02-cadjpy

Pips made available (from theoretical best entry): 105
Realistic likely result (gain range in pips): 70 to 90
Overall trade performance: Good


Clarifications:
a) The "pips made available from theoretical best entry" is only applicable to those that do NOT use pending limit orders for their entries and prefer to manually enter the trade, either near the level or within its boundaries. This can sometimes provide better entries but other times it could cause opportunities to be missed. It is only advisable for the more experienced traders.

b) The "realistic likely result" is the average result that we expect most traders to have obtained from this setup/signal. Compare your outcome to this in order to see if you can improve your exit timing.

If you are new to this concept and need our help to get started, please get in touch.
Enhancer Signals

Offline EnhancerSignals-PR

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Re: Enhancer Signals - Pure supply and demand signals
« Reply #4 on: October 18, 2016, 12:40:15 PM »

Trade review - AUDUSD (2016-10-14)
In trading it is important not only to learn from our mistakes, but also to know exactly what we did right when we got our big wins. This way we can focus on repeating our success in the future. This review is meant as a reminder of our strategies and trading principles, and although it is not a replacement for the educational material on our website, it might help explain how an actual recent trade worked.

Trade details for AUDUSD
Orders placed: 10 Oct 2016, regarding a Demand level created on 16 Sept 2016
Trade entry triggered 13 Oct 2016
"Set & Forget" target hit: within a few hours. (Standard reward ratio 1:1, always position-sized properly).
"Advanced Manual Trading" result: 90 to 120 pips (out of 140). Reward ratio: more than 3:1.

Review:
Lets start by looking at the original level screenshot (AUDUSD 2H):



The above Demand level was created on Sept 16 (break-out on Sept 18), and initiated a move that reached its top on Sept 29, almost two weeks later. The strength of the break-out (after the "drop-base-rally" formation) suggests there is a Supply/Demand imbalance within the level (between the grey lines). The large distance to the top confirms this and also gives the level a good placement as seen in the "big picture", i.e. the larger timeframes.

So by this point we have already identified a level which shows signs of Supply/Demand imbalance, and we can see that it also has an acceptable placement within the bigger picture, i.e. it is placed low for a Demand level, or high for a Supply level, as compared to the recent past. If price is already on the way back to the level, we also check for possible opposing levels (in order to confirm that our profit margin is viable). We are now ready to mark this level as valid for a future trade (whenever price returns to the level for the first time). We only trade the first return of price because that's when the Supply/Demand imbalance is at its highest point. If a level has been touched by price before, then it has been used and should be considered invalid.

So, lets fast forward to Oct 10, that's the date the Signal was published. At that point we couldn't have known when our entry would be triggered. We just placed our pending orders (or set a reminder on our platform to remind us whenever price gets closer). In this case it happened that our entry got triggered 3 days after the Signal was published, but it could have been 3 weeks later, it doesn't matter. What matters is that we had our pending orders (or even better/safer just the reminders) in place in order to catch the trade when the market returns to the imbalance level.

Here is what happened on Oct 13, the day we got our entry:



The green horizontal line represents our entry price, which in this case was set about 15 pips in front of the actual level. Let's ignore the fact that price barely touched our entry and then reversed immediately, it might sound awesome but it could have also caused a missed entry, so remember that we try to give the market some wiggle room when we can (and that's exactly what saved us from a missed entry here).

Now to the main point:

Ok, so we bought above a level that indicates Demand exceeds Supply, in a well-placed area in the big picture. But who did we buy from? Who would be selling above such a Demand level? Only a novice trader would sell right above a level where Demand exceeds Supply, and that's exactly who we bought from. The novice trader(s) selling to us in the green circle (screenshot) were probably selling out of emotion due to the sharp drop, or due to their indicators and oscillators flashing red, or due to any other equally arbitrary tool. In doesn't matter which of the countless tools they were using, it only matters that they couldn't identify potential Supply/Demand imbalances on their charts. This level was visible on the charts for almost an entire month before price actually returned back to it, and it required absolutely no special tools to identify! Some of our currently active levels have been created many months ago and price still has not managed to return back to the imbalance level. When it does, we will gladly take the trade, and we will need no indicators or oscillators to do that.

So do these levels work 100% of the time? Of course not, nothing does. But they work with enough consistency for us to make a profit out of Forex and that's what matters.

Even for our basic "Set & Forget" strategy which uses "easy" reward targets (1:1), we only need an above 50% win ratio in order to make a profit. But that's just the minimum. The higher the win ratio, the better the performance obviously. And don't be fooled by the low 1:1 reward ratio. Reward ratios only mean something in combination with a win ratio. For example, not even a 10:1 reward ratio can save you if you only win 1 out of 11 trades. But if you win 6 out 11 trades (i.e. above 50%), then you can make profit even with a 1:1 reward ratio. So these go hand-in-hand, and although high reward ratios are generally good, they are only effective when combined with an appropriate win ratio.

But remember this crucial point: we always position-size our trades properly. This means that ALL our trades risk the SAME account percentage regardless of the number of pips between our entry and our stop. We risk the same account percentage whether we trade a 30 pip level or a 100 pip level, by adjusting (position-sizing) the amount we trade depending on the number of pips required by the setup. This is even more important for the "Set & Forget" trades in order to monitor your performance accurately.

Also, if you don't use position-sizing, then you could win more than 50% of the trades and still lose money. Just imagine that your thicker setups (requiring more pips) happened to lose, while your thinner setups (requiring fewer pips) happened to win. What's the point of winning if you still manage to lose money? With proper position-sizing you could even be negative in pips and still be positive in profit, as long as your win ratio is acceptable. Of course we always aim to be positive both in pips and in profit. So keep in mind that you will not find ANY true professional who doesn't use some sort of position-sizing, and there is a reason for that.



Now as far as the "Advanced Manual Trading" method commentary is concerned (which is where the trade received its "golden" award), the main reasons for giving this trade a distinction were:

a) Great reward ratio, in this case above 3:1, much further than the "Set & Forget" target. The thin level helped improve the ratio.
b) Accuracy of entry (optimal entry, while price did not even get close to our stop order on the other side of the level)
c) The way the trade unfolded: relatively easy and straight-forward trade, no major complications along the way.

We hope you enjoyed the review and found the material informative.

From the EnhancerSignals team

Offline EnhancerSignals-PR

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Re: Enhancer Signals - Pure supply and demand signals
« Reply #5 on: October 24, 2016, 12:18:38 PM »
Periodic Overview of Results (2016-10-17 to 2016-10-23)
Since the last report we had 7 of our pending entries triggered. This is the summary of the results.

"Set & Forget" results (when using the exact entry/stop/target as provided):
Targets Hit: 4 out of 5
Stops Hit: 1
(+2 pending)

"Advanced Manual Trading" results for the same trades (estimate, when manually choosing entry/stop/target):
Gold: 0
Silver: 4
Fail: 1

Intro Notes:
We identified all these Supply/Demand imbalance levels much in advance (days or even weeks before price returned). Then we placed our orders when price returned near the imbalance level and we got our professional-grade trades. All our trade entries had something in common: we either bought above a Demand level or we sold below a Supply level. This allows us to obtain low-risk entries and to achieve an above average win-ratio.

All "Set & Forget" trade entries shown below are position-sized in order to use the same account percentage (e.g. 2%) per trade, regardless of how many pips are required (between our entry and our stop orders). Since these trades use "easy" reward targets of a fixed 1:1 reward ratio and the same account percentage per trade, we only need an above 51% Win Ratio in order to be profitable. Our average Win-Ratio is significantly higher than that, so using a position-sizing calculator to determine trade amounts is highly recommended. All professionals use some kind of position-sizing to determine their trade amounts, and there is a reason for that.

We usually have 4 to 7 of these levels triggered per week, sometimes more.

********************************************************************************
Screenshot EURNZD 1H
"Set & Forget" result: STOP HIT (1:1 Reward ratio, position-sized as always)


"Advanced Manual Trading" results
Pips made available (from theoretical best entry): 0
Realistic likely result (gain range in pips): -65 to -75
Overall trade performance: Fail

********************************************************************************
Screenshot NZDCAD 2H
"Set & Forget" result: TARGET HIT (1:1 Reward ratio, position-sized as always)


NOTE: High precision entry achieved. This entry price was identified much in advance, like all our Signals.

"Advanced Manual Trading" results
Pips made available (from theoretical best entry): 78
Realistic likely result (gain range in pips): 40 to 50
Overall trade performance: Average

********************************************************************************
Screenshot EURJPY 2H
"Set & Forget" result: TARGET HIT (1:1 Reward ratio, position-sized as always)


NOTE: High precision entry achieved. This entry price was identified much in advance, like all our Signals.

"Advanced Manual Trading" results
Pips made available (from theoretical best entry): 141
Realistic likely result (gain range in pips): 70 to 110
Overall trade performance: Very good

********************************************************************************
Screenshot NZDUSD 4H
"Set & Forget" result: TARGET HIT (1:1 Reward ratio, position-sized as always)


NOTE: High precision entry achieved. This entry price was identified much in advance, like all our Signals.

"Advanced Manual Trading" results
Pips made available (from theoretical best entry): 125
Realistic likely result (gain range in pips): 80 to 100
Overall trade performance: Very good

********************************************************************************
Screenshot EURNZD 4H
"Set & Forget" result: TARGET HIT (1:1 Reward ratio, position-sized as always)


NOTE: High precision entry achieved. This entry price was identified much in advance, like all our Signals.

"Advanced Manual Trading" results
Pips made available (from theoretical best entry): 175
Realistic likely result (gain range in pips): 80 to 130
Overall trade performance: Very good

Happy Trading,
EnhancerSignals

Offline EnhancerSignals-PR

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Re: Enhancer Signals - Pure supply and demand signals
« Reply #6 on: November 01, 2016, 08:03:02 AM »
Golden trade review - EURAUD (closed 2016-10-28)

Intro note:
In trading it is important not only to learn from our mistakes, but also to know exactly what we did right when we got our big wins. This way we can focus on repeating our success in the future. This review is meant as a reminder of our strategies and trading principles.

Trade details for EURAUD (signal-2016-04-21-14-35-euraud):
Trade entry triggered 26 Oct 2016
"Set & Forget" target hit: within a few hours. (Standard reward ratio 1:1, always position-sized properly).
"Advanced Manual Trading" result: 190 to 280 pips (out of 358). Reward ratio: more than 4:1.

Review:
Lets start by looking at the original screenshot (EURAUD 8H):


The above Demand level was created on May 27, 2015 (it could be seen on the charts for more than 1.5 years!), and initiated a move that reached its top on June 09, 2015, almost two weeks later. This does NOT mean we were actively waiting for when the level will be triggered, it just means that when we saw price approaching it we knew we could use it to obtain a low-risk, high-probability trade. This means we placed our pending orders a few days before price reached the level and we enjoyed a professional-grade trade as a result.
We maintain a large Panel containing all such identified levels so that we can trade them whenever price returns to those levels. Sometimes price returns back to the level within a day or two, while some other times it can take months. So, we don't keep all the orders in the platform, only the ones that are about to be triggered (i.e. for levels that are being approached by price).
This specific trade was special not only for its great precision, excellent reward ratio, and even the simplicity of move (rising for 3 straight days), but also for another reason: the level that triggered this large move could be seen and identified on the charts for more than 1.5 years. Yes, a Supply/Demand imbalance left its traces on the chart a long time ago, and we were able to profit as result much later. But how did this happen? Where there some Buy orders still waiting patiently there to be filled for all this time? Definitely NOT. No one keeps orders in the market for so long. As explained in the Free educational material on the website, what creates the move is NEW institutional orders trading an OLD imbalance level. Supply and Demand traders around the world (from banks, brokers, institutions, large companies etc) can all see and identify an old level of imbalance, and as you guessed, they gladly trade the level when the time comes. The masses are going one way (using indicators and oscillators or whatever else these days), while professional traders go the other way by looking at pure Supply and Demand.
In the above screenshot, the level is a rally-base-rally formation with a strong break-out, suggesting there is a Supply/Demand imbalance within the level (between the grey lines). The large distance to the top confirms this and also gives the level a good placement as seen in the "big picture", i.e. the larger timeframes.

So by this point we have already identified a level which shows signs of Supply/Demand imbalance, and we can see that it also has an acceptable placement within the bigger picture, i.e. it is placed low for a Demand level, or high for a Supply level, as compared to the recent past. If price is already on the way back to the level we also check for possible opposing levels (in order to confirm that our profit margin is viable). We are now ready to mark this level as valid for a future trade (whenever price returns to the level for the first time). We only trade the first return of price because that's when the Supply/Demand imbalance is at its highest point. If a level has been touched by price before, then it has been used and should be considered invalid.

So, lets fast forward to Oct 26, that's the day we got our entry.
Screenshot EURAUD 1H on 2016-10-28 (3 days after our entry):


The green circle represents our entry just above the pre-identified Demand level.

Now to the main point, which is similar to our previous trade reviews:

Ok, so we bought above a level that indicates Demand exceeds Supply, in a well-placed area in the big picture. But who did we buy from? Who would be selling above such a Demand level? Only a novice trader would sell right above a level where Demand exceeds Supply, and that's exactly who we bought from. The novice trader(s) selling to us in the green circle (screenshot) were probably selling out of emotion due to the sharp drop, or due to their indicators and oscillators flashing red, or due to any other equally arbitrary tool. In doesn't matter which of the countless tools they were using, it only matters that they couldn't identify potential Supply/Demand imbalances on their charts. This level was visible on the charts for almost a year and a half before price actually returned back to it, and it required absolutely no special tools to identify! Some of our currently active levels have been created many months ago and price still has not managed to return back to the imbalance level. When it does, we will gladly take the trade, and we will need no indicators or oscillators to do that.

So do these levels work 100% of the time? Of course not, nothing does. But they work with enough consistency for us to make a profit out of Forex and that's what matters.

Even for our basic "Set & Forget" strategy which uses "easy" reward targets (1:1), we only need an above 50% win ratio in order to make a profit. But that's just the minimum. The higher the win ratio, the better the performance obviously, and our Win-Ratios are significantly higher than that. And don't be fooled by the low 1:1 reward ratio. Reward ratios only mean something in combination with a win ratio. For example, not even a 10:1 reward ratio can save you if you only win 1 out of 11 trades. But if you win 6 out 11 trades (i.e. above 50%), then you can make profit even with a 1:1 reward ratio. So these go hand-in-hand, and although high reward ratios are generally good, they are only effective when combined with an appropriate win ratio.

But remember this crucial point: we always position-size our trades properly. This means that ALL our trades risk the SAME account percentage regardless of the number of pips between our entry and our stop. We risk the same account percentage whether we trade a 30 pip level or a 100 pip level, by adjusting (position-sizing) the amount we trade depending on the number of pips required by the setup. This is even more important for the "Set & Forget" trades in order to monitor our performance accurately.

Also, if you don't use position-sizing, then you could win more than 50% of the trades and still lose money. Just imagine that your thicker setups (requiring more pips) happened to lose, while your thinner setups (requiring fewer pips) happened to win. What's the point of winning if you still manage to lose money? With proper position-sizing you could even be negative in pips and still be positive in profit, as long as your win ratio is acceptable. Of course we always aim to be positive both in pips and in profit at the same time. So keep in mind that you will not find ANY true professional who doesn't use some sort of position-sizing, and there is a reason for that.



Now as far as the "Advanced Manual Trading" commentary for this trade is concerned (which is where the trade received its "golden" award), the main reasons for giving this trade a distinction were:

a) Great reward ratio, in this case above 4:1 (despite the thick level), much further than the "Set & Forget" target. Also great in terms of pips with 190 to 280 pips profit (out of 358 that the trade achieved).
b) Accuracy of entry (optimal entry, while price did not even get close to our stop order on the other side of the level)
c) The way the trade unfolded: relatively easy and straight-forward trade, no major complications along the way.


We hope you found this review useful and informative.

Happy trading,
Enhancer Signals

Offline EnhancerSignals-PR

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Re: Enhancer Signals - Pure supply and demand signals
« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2016, 07:43:51 AM »
Periodic Overview of Results (2016-10-24 to 2016-10-30)
Since the last report we had 3 more trades closed (+1 pending). This is the summary of the results.
"Set & Forget" results (when using the exact entry/stop/target as provided):
Targets Hit: 3 out of 3
Stops Hit: 0
(+1 pending)


"Advanced Manual Trading" results for the same trades (estimate, only when using manual entry/stop/target):
Gold grade: 1
Silver grade: 2
Fail: 0

We identified all these Supply/Demand imbalance levels much in advance (days or even weeks earlier). Then we placed our orders when price returned near the imbalance level and we got our professional-grade trades. All our trade entries had something in common: we either bought above a Demand level or we sold below a Supply level. This allows us to obtain low-risk entries and to achieve an above average win-ratio.

All "Set & Forget" trade entries are position-sized in order to use the same account percentage (e.g. 2%) per trade, regardless of how many pips are required (between our entry and our stop orders). Since these trades use "easy" reward targets of a fixed 1:1 reward ratio and the same account percentage per trade, we only need an above 51% Win Ratio in order to be profitable. Our average Win-Ratio is significantly higher than that, so using the provided position-sizing calculator to determine trade amounts is always adviced. All professionals use some kind of position-sizing to determine their trade amounts, and there is a reason for that.

We usually have 4 to 7 of these levels triggered per week, sometimes more.

********************************************************************************
Screenshot EURAUD 1H / signal-2016-04-21-14-35-euraud
"Set & Forget" result: TARGET HIT (1:1 Reward ratio, position-sized as always)

Reaction visible on chart near: 2016-10-26 1AM UTC/GMT+0
NOTE: High precision entry achieved.

"Advanced Manual Trading" results
Pips made available (from theoretical best entry): 358
Realistic likely result (gain range in pips): 190 to 280
Overall trade performance: Excellent

********************************************************************************
Screenshot USDCAD 4H / signal-2016-09-17-11-20-usdcad
"Set & Forget" result: TARGET HIT (1:1 Reward ratio, position-sized as always)

Reaction visible on chart near: 2016-10-24 8PM UTC/GMT+0

"Advanced Manual Trading" results
Pips made available (from theoretical best entry): 119
Realistic likely result (gain range in pips): 40 to 60
Overall trade performance: Average

********************************************************************************
Screenshot AUDUSD 4H / signal-2016-10-20-13-11-audusd
"Set & Forget" result: TARGET HIT (1:1 Reward ratio, position-sized as always)

Reaction visible on chart near: 2016-10-24, 8AM UTC/GMT+0

"Advanced Manual Trading" results
Pips made available (from theoretical best entry): 121
Realistic likely result (gain range in pips): 40 to 80
Overall trade performance: Good


Happy Trading
Enhancer Signals

Offline EnhancerSignals-PR

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Re: Enhancer Signals - Pure supply and demand signals
« Reply #8 on: December 07, 2016, 12:58:12 PM »
Signal Performance Overview: OCT 10 to NOV 30

This is an overview of the recent Signal Performance, prepared by aggregating the data from our trade archive. It contains many insights that might otherwise go unnoticed when viewing only the day to day trading results, and it also gives a better overview of the value provided by the Signals over a period of time.

"Set & Forget" results for those using the provided entry/stop/target:
Trades triggered: 37 (Including 10 Break-even)
Actual Results: 27
Targets Hit: 18 out of 27
Stops Hit: 9 out of 27
+10 Break-even

Wins: 66%
Losses: 34%


From the trades that produced a non break-even result (either the target or the stop was hit), 66% were winning trades and 34% were losses. These were all position-sized trades so that the risk per trade was always the same regardless of the number of pips at risk. Additionally, for these "Set & Forget" trades a 1:1 risk/reward ratio was used so that one win and one loss always cancel each other out. This means that our 9 more wins than losses (18 - 9) approximately translates to a 9% total account gain per 1% account risk used in each trade (i.e. a trader using 2% account risk per trade gained a total 18% with these 9 extra wins. This is an approximation as it varies slightly depending on the ordering of the wins/losses).

If you used just a conservative 1% risk per trade for these 27 trades (or 37 including the break-even trades) then you gained approximately $90 for every $1000 in your trading account.

Pips*: 1197 - 539 = 658

* = Measuring performance in pips is only good as a very general indicator of performance, it is NOT a precise measurement. Different pips have different values based on the traded pair and actual trade amounts. Having a positive pip gain is only meaningful when combined with a positive account growth percentage. However, since many traders like to know this value we included it here (pips gained minus pips lost in 27 trades).

10 Break-even trades???
We had 10 trades with a final result of break-even. Is this good or bad? It is up to you to decide but here are the facts:
We move our stop to break-even when a trade has reached about 3/4 towards the target. This means that on top of the 18 wins out of 27 trades, we also had an additional 10 trades that reached at least 75% towards the target before returning to break even. Here is the number of pips that our 10 break-even trades reached before returning to the break-even point, as well as the percentage they reached towards the target of that trade:
+ 39 pips (95% towards target)
+ 48 pips (87% towards target)
+ 67 pips (77% towards target)
+ 90 pips (97% towards target)
+ 78 pips (90% towards target)
+ 67 pips (79% towards target)
+ 45 pips (76% towards target)
+ 66 pips (72% towards target)
+ 75 pips (97% towards target)
+ 90 pips (92% towards target)
Total: + 665 pips (86% towards the target on average)

Half of these trades missed the target by just 2-3 pips, which means they reached more than 90-95% towards their targets. As far as the official performance of these "Set & Forget" signals is concerned these trades were simple break-even trades (not wins, even if some reached +90 pips), however we are very happy that some subscribers took manual profit (full or partial) using these trades. This means they achieved even better performance than the "official" one. Remember, the final goal is to make money, not to mirror the "official" performance with unnecessary precision.

Our trade archive includes all trade details with screenshots for those that want to review the trades in detail.

EnhancerSignals

Offline dkmillion

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Re: Enhancer Signals - Pure supply and demand signals
« Reply #9 on: December 21, 2016, 07:42:41 PM »
Hi Enhancer, can you perhaps tell us what your monthly pips and/or percentage win was for the last 6 months or since the start of the system?

Offline EnhancerSignals-PR

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Re: Enhancer Signals - Pure supply and demand signals
« Reply #10 on: December 23, 2016, 08:19:12 AM »
Hello dkmillion,

Thank you for your question. The above stats are since the first day of our "Set & Forget" type of signals which started on Oct 10th 2016, and they cover the period until the end of november. There will soon be another report with the rest of the stats, most likely after the holidays.

You can also view all past trade setups with screenshots and other material for free on our site. There you can find an additional 6 months worth of trades based on a different more discretionary system. This is still available on our site but people seem to prefer the "Set & Forget" signals with exact entry/stop/target prices.

I will update the thread as soon as there is more information ready for posting. In the meantime please have a look at the above and let me know if you have any questions.

Thank you very much


Offline EnhancerSignals-PR

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Re: Enhancer Signals - Pure supply and demand signals
« Reply #11 on: December 23, 2016, 08:20:38 AM »
Trade review - USDCAD (closed 2016-12-14)
In trading it is important not only to learn from our mistakes, but also to know exactly what we did right when we got our big wins. This way we can focus on repeating our success in the future. This review is meant as a reminder of our strategies and trading principles, and it might help explain how an actual recent trade worked.

Details for the USDCAD trade:
Trade entry triggered 11-Dec-2016
"Set & Forget" method target hit: in 2 days. (Standard reward ratio 1:1, always position-sized properly).
"Advanced Manual Trading" method result: 180 to 260 pips (out of 336). Reward ratio:  almost 5:1.

The original trade setup report is freely available in the result commentary section here: https://www.enhancersignals.com/past-signal-result-commentary/archive-usdcad/signal-2016-10-30-12-31-usdcad

Review:
Let's start by looking at the original trade setup screenshot (USDCAD 8H):

The above Demand level was created on October 19, 2016 (it could be seen on the charts for more than 1.5 months), and initiated a move that reached its top on November 14, 2016, almost four weeks later. During this time the Demand level was validated by the price action which met our minimum requirements (the various Enhancers), so we sent a signal with the trade setup and we placed our pending orders when price started returning back to the level. This allowed us to obtain a low-risk, high-probability trade when price reached the level, and we enjoyed a great trade as a result.
We maintain a large panel containing all such identified levels on different pairs so that we can trade them whenever price returns to those levels. Sometimes price returns back to the level with a day or two, while some other times it can take months. So we don't keep all the orders in the platform, only the ones that are about to be triggered (i.e. for levels that are being approached by price and could be triggered in the next few hours/days).
This specific trade was special not only for the great reward ratio it achieved (almost 5:1), but also for the simplicity of the move (rising straight for about 300 pips once the trade started running in our favor). But that wasn't all! Here is a copy of the commentary as post in our trade archive:

"An excellent trade that deserves our "Golden" award as it made available more than 300 pips and almost reached a 5:1 reward ratio. Our predefined entry was triggered when the market opened with a novice gap right into a Demand level. We call this gap a novice gap due to being a gap lower after a significant move lower has already occurred during the preceding days, and with an opening exactly at the boundaries of a large Demand level that was visible on the charts for more than a month. Conveniently (but probably not so "accidentally") this Demand level was hit just before the most important USD interest rates announcement of the year, trapping the masses in the wrong direction."

So not only the setup was triggered very close to big announcement, but the market also opened with a gap directly at the boundaries of our Demand level. This trapped the masses in the wrong direction (panic selling into Demand) which ended up badly for them after the announcement as price run 300+ pips in our favor.

But how did this happen? Where there some Buy orders still waiting patiently there to be filled during all this time? Definitely NOT. No one keeps orders in the market for so long. As explained before, what creates the move is NEW institutional orders trading an OLD imbalance level. The usual "Supply and Demand traders" around the world (from banks, brokers, institutions, large companies etc) can all see and identify an old level of imbalance, and as you guessed, they gladly trade the level when the time comes. The masses are going one way (using indicators and oscillators or whatever else these days), while professional traders go the other way by looking at pure Supply and Demand and taking a high-probability pre-planned trade.
In the above screenshot, the level is a drop-base-rally formation with a strong break-out, suggesting there was a Supply/Demand imbalance within the level (between the grey lines). The large distance to the top confirms this and also gives the level a better placement as seen in the "big picture", i.e. the larger timeframes.
So by this point during our pre-evaluation we have already identified a level which shows signs of Supply/Demand imbalance, and we can see that it also has an acceptable placement within the bigger picture, i.e. it is placed low for a Demand level, or high for a Supply level, as compared to the recent past on higher timeframes. If price is already on the way back to the level we also check for possible opposing levels (in order to confirm that our profit margin is viable). We are now ready to mark this level as valid for a future trade (whenever price returns to the level for the first time). We only trade the first return of price because that's when the Supply/Demand imbalance is at its highest point. If a level has been touched by price before, then it has been used and should be considered invalid (some or all of the imbalance has already been absorbed).

So, lets fast forward to Dec 11, 2016, the day we got our entry (green circle just above the Demand level):

Screenshot USDCAD 8H taken on 2016-12-16 (a few days after our entry). The green circle represents our entry just above the pre-identified Demand level.

Now to the main point, which is exactly the same as in previous trade reviews:
Ok, so we bought above a level that indicates Demand exceeds Supply, in a well-placed area in the big picture. But who did we buy from? Who would be selling above such a Demand level? Only a novice trader would sell right above a level where Demand very likely exceeds Supply, and that's exactly who we bought from. The novice trader(s) selling to us in the green circle (screenshot) were probably selling out of emotion due to the sharp drop, or due to their indicators and oscillators flashing red, or due to any other equally arbitrary tool. In doesn't matter which of the countless tools they were using, it only matters that they couldn't identify a potential Supply/Demand imbalance on their charts. This level was visible on the charts for almost a month and a half before price actually returned back to it, and it required absolutely no special tools to identify! Some of our currently active levels have been created many months ago and price still has not managed to return back to the imbalance level. When it does, we will gladly take the trade, and we will need no indicators or oscillators to do that.

So do these levels work 100% of the time? Of course not, nothing does. But they work with enough consistency for us to make a profit out of Forex and that's what matters.

Even for our basic "Set & Forget" strategy which uses "easy" reward targets (1:1), we only need an above 51% to 55% win ratio in order to make a profit. But that's just the minimum. The higher the win ratio, the better the performance obviously, and our Win-Ratios are significantly higher than that (see our past performance reports). And don't be fooled by the low 1:1 reward ratio. Reward ratios only mean something in combination with a win ratio. For example, not even a 10:1 reward ratio can save you if you only win 1 out of 11 trades. But if you win 6 out 11 trades (i.e. above 50%), then you can make profit even with a 1:1 reward ratio. So these go hand-in-hand, and although high reward ratios are generally considered good, they are only good when combined with an appropriate win ratio, otherwise they are meaningless.

(If you need more details about the illusion of reward ratios, we suggest you read the following great Investopedia article: http://www.investopedia.com/articles/forex/07/profit_loss.asp )

But remember this crucial point: we always position-size our trades properly. This means that ALL our trades risk the SAME account percentage regardless of the number of pips between our entry and our stop. We risk the same account percentage whether we trade a 30 pip level or a 100 pip level, by adjusting (position-sizing) the amount we trade depending on the number of pips required by the setup. This is even more important for the "Set & Forget" trades in order to monitor your performance accurately.

Also, if you don't use position-sizing, then you could win more than 50% of the trades and still lose money. Just imagine that your thicker setups (requiring more pips) happened to lose, while your thinner setups (requiring fewer pips) happened to win. What's the point of winning if you still manage to lose money? With proper position-sizing you could even be negative in pips and still be positive in profit, as long as your win ratio is acceptable. Of course we always aim to be positive both in pips and in profit at the same time. So keep in mind that you will not find ANY true professional who doesn't use some sort of position-sizing, and there is a reason for that.



Now as far as the "Advanced Manual Trading" commentary for this trade is concerned (which is where the trade received its "golden" award), the main reasons for giving this trade a distinction were:

a) Great reward ratio, in this case almost 5:1, much further than the simple "Set & Forget" target.
b) The way the trade unfolded: relatively easy and straight-forward trade, no major complications along the way, although a bit slow start.
The novice gap and the news announcement were a great help to make this happen.

We hope you found this review useful and informative.
Happy trading,
EnhancerSignals.com

Offline dkmillion

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Re: Enhancer Signals - Pure supply and demand signals
« Reply #12 on: December 23, 2016, 11:16:18 AM »
Thanks Enhancer. 
« Last Edit: December 24, 2016, 12:49:03 PM by dkmillion »

Offline perdunbo

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Re: Enhancer Signals - Pure supply and demand signals
« Reply #13 on: December 30, 2016, 09:27:02 AM »
Hello Enhancer,
I studied your results and have some questions.
The first 5 months you had 20-30 trades per month but the last 4 months you only have around 15 trades per month.
The win-ratio the first 7 months was around 80% but the last 2 months its only around 50%
Are these changes a result of changed market behaviour or a change in your strategy or just normal variations in the market?

Offline perdunbo

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Re: Enhancer Signals - Pure supply and demand signals
« Reply #14 on: January 10, 2017, 02:48:08 PM »
Hello Enhancer,
Its now more than 10 days since I asked you some questions about you results and I got no answer yet.
Im interested in your system but if you are trying to attract new customers via this thread then I appreciate a quicker response.