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Author Topic: NordFX - questions, comments, etc.  (Read 41674 times)

Offline Stan NordFX

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Re: NordFX - questions, comments, etc.
« Reply #105 on: June 04, 2018, 11:06:54 AM »
RAMM: Low Risk, High Reward


In early June 2018, NordFX launched a new trading and investing service, which allows traders to enjoy another benefit of additionally acting as investors and/or managers of their RAMM account.

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- being a RAMM-manager.

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Offline Stan NordFX

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Re: NordFX - questions, comments, etc.
« Reply #106 on: June 10, 2018, 09:17:43 AM »
Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for June 11-15, 2018

First, a review of last weeks forecast:
 
- EUR/USD. The basic forecast for this pair, supported by the majority of analysts, assumed its growth to the zone of 1.1800-1.1830. The pair went up indeed, fixing the week's high at 1.1839. So, taking into account the standard backlash, the forecast turned out to be absolutely correct. A rebound followed, and, as a result, the pair completed the trading session at the horizon 1.1770;

- GBP/USD. The forecast for this pair was very similar to that for the EUR/USD. 60% of experts had expected that the pound could rise to the level of 1.3420, and, in case of its breakdown, reach the zone 1.3500. It actually happened so - on Thursday, June 08, having broken the resistance of 1.3420, the pair briefly managed to rise to the height of 1.3470, then the bulls' strength dried up, and the pair met the end of the week 70 points lower - in the zone 1.3400;

- USD/JPY. Recall that last week the opinions of both analysts and indicators were divided into three almost equal parts - one-third voted for the fall of the pair, one-third were for its growth and another third voted for the sideways trend. And, as is often the case in such situations, everyone was right: the pair first grew to 110.25, then fell back to support 109.20, then again grew up and completed the five-day period almost in the same place where it started, in the zone of 109.55;

- Cryptocurrencies. As was said earlier, almost all major cryptopairs have been recently repeating the movements of their leader, BTC/USD. And the bitcoin, in turn, draws the Pennant and, constantly reducing volatility, continues to consolidate in the horizon area slightly above 7,000. So, if you look at the chart of D1, it is clearly visible that this "father" of all virtual currencies moved strictly horizontally in an extremely narrow corridor 7.345 - 7.730 for the whole week. It was followed in the sideways trend by all the major altcoins, and the attempt of the Ethereum and the Litecoin to break away from the leader and break through up at the beginning of the week, was unsuccessful, as expected. As a result, they returned to the initial levels: the Ethereum to around $600 per coin, and the Litecoin to $118.
 

As for the forecast for the coming week, summarizing the opinions of a number of analysts, as well as forecasts made on the basis of a variety of methods of technical and graphical analysis, we can say the following:
 
- EUR/USD. President Donald Trump's opponents must be very upset - to their great disappointment, his economic policy brings positive results: the number of jobs in the US in 2018 grew by more than a million, the inflation reached the Federal Reserve's target of 2%, the trade deficit is declining, and the gross domestic product is growing. All this leads to the dollar strengthening, which plays against American importers, and it also leads to the discontent among the financial elites of many countries whose currencies have now reached the historic lows.
As a result, the overwhelming majority of experts (65%), supported by graphical analysis on H4 and D1 and 70% of oscillators, believe that the correction which started last week, will continue, but the pair's growth will be limited by the resistance in the zone of 1.2000. (In case of a breakdown when the pair fixes above, the next target is 100 points higher).
As for the supports, the main ones are located at the levels of 1.1650 and 1.1570;

- As for the pair GBP/USD, the correction to the level of 1.3615 is expected to continue by 65% of analysts. The next resistance is at the height of 1.3700, however, only 45% of experts vote for such growth. Graphical analysis on D1 also believes that the correction will be completed in the zone 1.3615, after which the pound sterling will continue its decline. The support levels are 1.3200, 1.3125 and 1.3040;

- But as for the Japanese yen, according to the readings of graphical analysis, on the contrary, it should strengthen its position. As a result, the pair USD/JPY may fall to the level of 108.00. However, only 40% of experts agreed with this scenario, 50% supported the growth of the pair, and another 10% are for the sideways trend. The oscillators do not have obvious signals either - on H4,most of them side with the bears, and on D1 the advantage is smoothly passed to the bulls. Resistances are at horizons 110.25 and 111.40;

- As for the main cryptocurrencies, their extremely low volatility does not allow us to speak of any stable trends emerging. And we are talking not only about the short-term forecast, but also about the forecast up to the end of this year. Thus, many analysts predict a gradual drying up of this market and a decrease in its capitalization. In this regard, the most likely target for the bitcoin for December 2018. is named as12,500 instead of previously announced 15,000.


Roman Butko, NordFX


Notice: These materials should not be deemed a recommendation for investment or guidance for working on financial markets: they are for informative purposes only. Trading on financial markets is risky and can lead to a loss of money deposited.

#eurusd #gbpusd #usdjpy #usdchf #forex #forex_example #signals #forex #cryptocurrencies #bitcoin

https://nordfx.com/

Offline Stan NordFX

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Re: NordFX - questions, comments, etc.
« Reply #107 on: June 13, 2018, 09:59:54 AM »
Evolution of Cryptotrading. NordFX: Professional Level Exchange for Everyone


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Spreads are set by the market - by deferred limit orders, as when trading on a crypto currency exchange. Commissions are divided into 2 types:
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#eurusd #gbpusd #usdjpy #forex #signals_forex #PAMM #RAMM #cryptocurrencies #bitcoin

Offline Stan NordFX

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Re: NordFX - questions, comments, etc.
« Reply #108 on: June 18, 2018, 10:03:26 AM »
Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for June 18-22, 2018


First, a review of last weeks forecast:
 
- EUR/USD. Billionaire George Soros is confident that further strengthening of the dollar will lead to a new financial crisis. At the same time, 10 out of 60 analysts interviewed by Reuters believe that the growth of the US currency will be completed within a month, 35 are confident that the strengthening of the dollar will last at least until the fall, and another 15 give the USD growth until the end of the year. Experts from ABN Amro are among the latter, they believe that the euro should fall to the level of 1.1000, and only then, in 2019, it will be able to restore some of the lost ground.
Interestingly, the decision of the US Federal Reserve to raise the interest rate to 2%, which was announced last week, did not surprise anyone. The information that this year should expect two more similar increases, and three in the future did not cause a stir either. The euro quickly recovered and, moreover, demonstrated growth against the background of these events to the level of 1.1850.
But the ECB's decision to extend the quantitative easing (QE) regime instantly dropped the euro against the dollar by more than 300 points. Our experts had named the level 1.1570 as the main support zone, to which the EUR/USD did rush. Due to the unusually powerful bearish impulse, by inertia, it even dropped 30 points lower, however, after coming to its senses, it soon turned around and completed the trading session at 1.1610;

- 65% of analysts expected further correction of the GBP/USD to the level of 1.3615, after which it had to resume its movement to the south. However, the pair could not rise even above the level of 1.3445 and rushed down again, trying, as on May 29, to break through support in the zone of 1.3200. And, just like in May, the attempt failed, after which the pair returned to zone 1.3280;

- USD/JPY. 50% of analysts supported the growth of this pair, referring to the horizons as 110.25 and 111.40 as resistance, between which, at 110.60, it completed the five-day period;
 
- Cryptocurrencies. In recent days, following their leader bitcoin, almost all of them have broken through important support levels and moved further south, testing new horizons. Thus, BTC managed to break through supports of $7,125 and $7,000 and reached a weekly low of $6,110 on June 14, then it managed to win back about 7% and rise to $6,575. Similar dynamics were demonstrated by the remaining virtual currencies included in the TOP-10 market capitalization.
Since the beginning of the year, the crypto market capitalization has decreased by 44.3% (from $611 billion to $340 billion). Just over the night of 10 to 11 June, the market shrank by another $25 billion. Many traders and analysts tried to explain this collapse by the Coinrail exchange in South Korea being hacked, but in reality, it lost only $40 million, so the theft was most likely just an excuse for another lowering the price of crypto-coins.
 

As for the forecast for the coming week, summarizing the opinions of a number of analysts, as well as forecasts made on the basis of a variety of methods of technical and graphical analysis, we can say the following:
 
- In addition to the extension of the QE program mentioned above, the ECB's decision to leave the benchmark interest rate at a record low of 0%, and the deposit rate at -0.4%, also exerts strong pressure on the euro. It was also stated that these rates will not be raised "at least until the summer of 2019". At the same time, Mario Draghi admitted that the economy of the Eurozone in 2018 will not return to the forecasted level of growth.
All this, coupled with the success of President Donald Trump's economic policy, creates significant prerequisites for the further strengthening of the dollar. That's why 65% of experts expect that in the coming week the EUR/USD will test the level of 1.1500 and, if successful, could drop another 100 points lower. 90% of the oscillators on H4 and D1 also agree with this development,
As for the remaining 35% of experts, in their opinion, the pair still has chances to return to zone 1.1825, but the likelihood of such a development will depend on what the ECB Head Mario Draghi and the Fed, J. Powell, will say in their statements earlier this week;
 
- it is clearly visible on the GBP / USD chart that the pair moves in the lateral channel 1.3200-1.3470.for the fourth week in a row. At the same time, 60% of analysts believe that, following the euro, the British pound will also continue its decline. In their view, the pair GBP/USD may as well break through the lower boundary of this channel and move to the level of 1.3050-1.3200. This scenario is supported by graphical analysis on D1 and the absolute majority of indicators.
An alternative point of view, represented by 40% of experts, suggests the movement of the pair in the side corridor 1.3200-1.3345. The next resistance is in the zone is 1.3400.
On Thursday, June 21, the next meeting of the Bank of England should take place. However, with a high probability, it will not present any surprises, so it is not worth it to expect serious exchange rate jumps at this moment;

- a day earlier than their British counterparts, the Committee on Monetary Policy of the Bank of Japan will hold a meeting. As for the experts, two-thirds of them cautiously support the small growth of the pair USD JPY to the area of 111.00-111.50. The next resistance is 112.00.
This time, a third of analysts, graphic analysis on H4 and D1, as well as 20% of oscillators, side with the bears, signalling the pair is overbought. In case their scenario turns out to be correct, the pair is expected to decline first to support 109.40, and then, possibly, further - to levels 109.00 and 108.50;
 
- Most of the forecasts for basic cryptocurrencies can be reduced to just two sentences: 1) in the near future they will continue to fall, and 2) they should grow in the long term. For example, according to the forecast of Fundstrat Global Advisors analysts, the bitcoin can fall to the level of $ 3,250. However, even this, in their opinion, "will not break the long-term ascending trend of the first cryptocurrency".
The closest target for BTCUSD, according to the founder of Onchain Capital Ran Neuner, is the level of $5,900. The optimistic part of his forecast is that "if the price of the bitcoin reaches 20, 40 or 80 thousand dollars within a few years, then no one will be worried about whether it was bought for $6,000 or $6,500. Only traders working on a scale of less than a year should be concerned about the current drop in the market price. "The only thing that the expert didn't specify is when this long-awaited take-off to 80,000 takes place.


Roman Butko, NordFX


Notice: These materials should not be deemed a recommendation for investment or guidance for working on financial markets: they are for informative purposes only. Trading on financial markets is risky and can lead to a loss of money deposited.

#eurusd #gbpusd #usdjpy #usdchf #forex #forex_example #signals #forex #cryptocurrencies #bitcoin

https://nordfx.com/

Offline Stan NordFX

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Re: NordFX - questions, comments, etc.
« Reply #109 on: June 24, 2018, 11:37:45 AM »
Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for June 25-29, 2018


First, a review of last weeks forecast:
 
- EUR/USD. Most experts (65%) expected the pair to make an attempt to break through the 1.1500 support, which actually happened. However, the attempt failed, the bears' strengths weakened and, against the background of a temporary lull in the trade war between the US and China, the dollar lost about 160 points to the euro, pushing the pair to the PivotPoint zone of the last six months and finishing the five-day period at 1.1657;
 
- 60% of analysts spoke in favor of the fact that the GBP/USD could break through the lower boundary of the four-week channel 1.3200-1.3470 and fall to the horizon 1.3050. This forecast was correct: on Tuesday, June 19, the pair was below the support of 1.3200, and on Thursday, June 21, it reached the level of 1.3100. However, then the Bank of England presented a small unexpected surprise. Instead of the projected 2 votes against 7, the interest rate increase received 3 votes. Of course, this did not bring any basic changes, but the bulls understood such a result as a hint of a possible rate hike in August and began to push the pound up. As a result, by the end of the week session, the pair was able to rise to 1.3260;

- USD/JPY. The results of the previous week showed once again that signals of even a small part of oscillators should be taken into account. So, this time 20% of the oscillators signaled the pair was overbought. They were supported by a third of analysts and graphical analysis on H4 and D1, indicating the main support in the zone 109.40. Taking a standard backlash into account, this forecast turned out to be absolutely accurate: the pair reached the local bottom at 109.54 on Tuesday, after which it rebounded up to a height of 110.75, and then returned to the main medium-term support/resistance line in the 110.00 zone;
 
- Cryptocurrencies. Back in early June, the total capitalization of this market was $330 billion, now it is $283 billion, that is, in just a few weeks the market was "blown away" by about 15% (more than 50% since the beginning of the year).
If you look at the BTCUSD chart, you can observe the same picture for the seventh week: strained bulls' attempts to raise the pair up, and then a weekly sharp collapse, which negates all their efforts. As a result, having fallen to the level of $5,925, the bitcoin has reached the minimum of February 6, 2018.
It really does not make sense to talk about the reasons for such falls now - whether this is a negative decision of yet another regulator, or hacking of yet another exchange. All these are just reasons to "sink" the rate of the main crypto currency by another few hundred dollars. Altcoins included in the TOP-10 in terms of capitalization - etherium, ripple, litecoin and others, - obediently follow the bitcoin down, adversely affecting the mood of the market.
 

As for the forecast for the coming week, summarizing the opinions of a number of analysts, as well as forecasts made on the basis of a variety of methods of technical and graphical analysis, we can say the following:
 
- as for the economic data, which can continue pushing the EUR/USD upwards, we can note only a slightly noticeable growth of the Eurozone composite PMI index. Apparently, this is the reason why 55% of experts give only a very cautious forecast, indicating the zone 1.1725-1.1750 as a target. The vast majority of indicators on H4 are also painted green, but it is already 15% of the oscillators that indicate that the pair is overbought.
The remaining 45% of analysts are sure that the growth of the euro is a temporary phenomenon, and the pair will once again test the level of 1.1500, and in case of its breakdown it will drop 100 points lower.
But the graphical analysis on D1 offers a compromise option: first the pair's fall into the zone 1.1450-1.1500, and then its growth to the height of 1.1840;
 
- the main trend for the GBP/USD so far is formed by the chief economist of the Bank of England Andy Haldane, who gave his vote on Thursday for raising the interest rate. In addition, the regulator has given a positive assessment to the British economy as a whole and indicated a readiness to reduce the balance after the rate rises to 1.5% (against 0.5% of today). Such "hawkish" statements led to the fact that 65% of experts expect the continuation of the uptrend and the pair's transition to the zone 1.3350-1.3450.
The remaining 35% of analysts seem to belong to the conspiracy theorists and believe that all statements of the regulator are only attempts to support the rate of the pound, which has lost more than 1,000 points since April. Proceeding from this, these experts believe that the fall of the pair will continue and it will reach the level of 1.3100 in the near future. The next support is 100 points lower.
 
- As for the pair USD/JPY, the opinions of analysts were divided equally - half are for the growth of the pair, half are for its fall, and both indicate a decrease in volatility. The support levels are 109.85 and 109.50, the resistance is 110.25 and 110.60. The graphical analysis on H4 agrees with the experts, indicating a gradual consolidation in the 110.10 zone.
It should be noted that about 15% of the oscillators indicate the pair is oversold, suggesting the correction of the pair up in the near future.
 
- Cryptocurrencies. It seems that the critical time is approaching, when market makers will have to decide whether the bitcoin should continue falling, or the trend should turn upwards.
If the BTC/USD confidently passes the support in the $5,900-6,100 zone, it is highly likely that after some time it will be seen near the horizon $4,300, where it stayed for a long time in last August-September.
If this support proves invincible, the bulls will do their best to bring the bitcoin back to the May highs and maybe even reach the coveted mark of 10,000.
The struggle in the main virtual currencies market is expected to be serious in the near future, and in conditions of such uncertainty, it is possible that crypto traders should not wait for any obvious powerful trend to appear, but it makes sense to focus on intraday trading .And this concerns not only the bitcoin, but also all the basic altcoins.


Roman Butko, NordFX


Notice: These materials should not be deemed a recommendation for investment or guidance for working on financial markets: they are for informative purposes only. Trading on financial markets is risky and can lead to a loss of money deposited.

#eurusd #gbpusd #usdjpy #usdchf #forex #forex_example #signals #forex #cryptocurrencies #bitcoin

https://nordfx.com/

Offline Stan NordFX

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Re: NordFX - questions, comments, etc.
« Reply #110 on: July 01, 2018, 04:19:11 PM »
Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for July 02-06, 2018


First, a review of last weeks forecast:
 
- EUR/USD. The forecast for this pair turned out to be almost 100% correct. Recall that we spoke of a slight increase to 1.1725-1.1750 (and the pair actually climbed to 1.1720), as well as its possible drop and another attempt to test the level of 1.1500 (on Thursday the pair dropped to the horizon 1.1525). In the end, while maintaining the balance between bulls and bears, it returned to the Pivot Point zone for the last one and a half months and completed the five-day period at the level of 1.1680;   
 
- GBP/USD. Thanks to the votes from the Bank of England, a positive mood prevailed in the analysts' camp last week - 65% of them expected a pair to rise above 1.3350. However, those 35% of experts who believed that all hawkish statements of the regulator were nothing more than an attempt to support the rate of the British pound, which had lost more than 1,000 points since April, turned out to be right. According to their forecasts, the pair was to fall into the zone of 1.3000-1.3100. That's exactly what happened: the local bottom was found exactly in the middle of the zone, after which the GBP/USD returned to 1.3200;

- USD/JPY. Once again, the oscillators turned out to be right - 15% of them pointed it was oversold, and that was enough for the pair to go up. At the same time, it stayed within the rather narrow monthly lateral channel 109.20-110.90, which confirmed the consolidation of the pair in the 110.10 zone;
 
- Cryptocurrencies. The forecast for BTC/USD said that if the pair confidently passes support in the $5,900-6,100 zone, with a high probability, after a while it will be seen near the horizon $4,300. And it was on June 28, that the bears decidedly went for a breakthrough. It seemed that the collapse was imminent, but when it reached $5,790, the pair first froze, and then jerked up on June 30, reaching a height of $6,525. As a result, over a day, bitcoin has grown by more than 10%, the reason for which was the mysterious large-scale purchase of BTC by an unknown investor, which occurred after the CME futures closed.
Many altcoins went into the growth. following bitcoin. The highest growth was demonstrated by Bitcoin Cash + 13% and Litecoin + 11%. The average growth of the top twenty cryptos was 7-10%.
 

As for the forecast for the coming week, summarizing the opinions of a number of analysts, as well as forecasts made on the basis of a variety of methods of technical and graphical analysis, we can say the following:
 
 - Last week, the short-term growth of the EUR/USD was caused by the results of the EU summit and the agreement on migration issues reached. However, in the near future it is hardly possible to have a release of new economic data, which would push the pair EUR/USD further up. The publication of the data on the labor market in the United States (NFP) on Friday July 07 is of particular interest, but the information on the possible tightening of the Fed's monetary policy may be on the other side of the scale. As a result, according to 35% of experts, the pair will be able to stay in the side corridor 1.1500-1.1725.
At the same time, it is possible that it will still be able to break the upper boundary of this channel and rise to zone 1.1725-1.1825. This version is supported by 20% of analysts and graphical analysis on H4
The remaining 45% of experts, together with graphical analysis on D1 and 15% of oscillators signaling that the pair is overbought, believe that it will once again test the level of 1.1500, and in case of its breakdown it will drop by 100-150 points lower;

- A similar picture is drawn by graphical analysis for the GBP/USD as well: on H4, a rise to the level of 1.3300-1.3335, and a fall into the zone 1.2900-1.3100 on D1. 15% of the oscillators also agree with the latter scenario.
As for the experts' opinion, they are divided almost equally: 35% support the growth of the pair, 35% are for its fall and 30% favor the sideways trend.
We can assume from all of the above, that the pair will continue to move east along the horizon 1.3200, fluctuating in the range 1.3050-1.3325.
If we talk about a medium-term forecast, 65% of analysts have supported the growth of the pair to 1.3450-1.3615 zone, and only 35% have voted for its fall below the level of 1.3000. In the event that the head of the Bank of England, Mark Carney, directly or indirectly confirms the "hawkish" statements of his colleague Andy Haldane in his speech on Thursday, July 05, the pair's jump may be expected as early as this week;

- USD/JPY. Despite the fact that it is already 10% of oscillators on H4 and D1 that give signals that the pair is overbought, most experts (55%) still expect the pair to grow at least to the 111.45 horizon. And it is only after that, in their opinion, it can return to the support of 110.00. This development is supported by graphical analysis on D1, it warns that, if this level is broken through, the pair can very quickly drop another 100 points lower;

- Cryptocurrencies. Seeing the latest jerk up of the bitcoin, the crypto world wondered: what was this? The long-awaited turn of the trend and the fulfillment of John McAfee's prophecy that bitcoin will cost $1 million per coin by 2020? Or just another trap? And, maybe, the IMF's Kenneth Rogoff was right, when he said that by the end of the year the rate of this forefather of virtual currencies will fall to some miserable $100?
Perhaps the answer to this question remains to be seen soon. For now, as the ancient Greek sage Skelef said, everyone sees what he wants. Analysts who are optimists say that if bitcoin confidently overcomes the level of $ 6,700, it will be a strong enough positive signal for the trend to change. As for the pessimists, we see the last breath of a dying coin. And if the pair BTC/USD is fixed below the horizon of $5,900, it is highly likely that after a while it will be possible to be seen about $4,300, and then even lower.


Roman Butko, NordFX


Notice: These materials should not be deemed a recommendation for investment or guidance for working on financial markets: they are for informative purposes only. Trading on financial markets is risky and can lead to a loss of money deposited.

#eurusd #gbpusd #usdjpy #usdchf #forex #forex_example #signals #forex #cryptocurrencies #bitcoin

https://nordfx.com/

Offline Stan NordFX

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Re: NordFX - questions, comments, etc.
« Reply #111 on: July 08, 2018, 12:18:45 PM »
Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for July 09-13, 2018


First, a review of last weeks forecast:
 
- EUR/USD. The forecasts of the majority of experts (55%) included the level of 1.1725, which the pair must have achieved this week. And this was what happened. Positive economic data from Germany as well as not the rosiest statistics from the labor market in the US (NFP declined by 12.7%), and the once again inflaming trade war between the US and China side with the Euro. As a result, the pair gradually, step by step, reached the height of 1.1765. Then a small correction followed, and it completed the trading session at the level of 1.1745;
 
- GBP/USD. Summarizing rather contradictory opinions of analysts and indicators, we assumed that the pair would continue to move to the east along the horizon 1.3200, making fluctuations in the range of 1.3050-1.3325. And, judging by the graph, this forecast turned out to be correct. Starting from 1.3200 mark on Monday night, the pair first fell to the level of 1.3093, then turned and went up, rising to the height of 1.3285.
The pound was once again supported by "hawkish" statements coming from the Bank of England, and the prospect of the interest rate raising. The growth of activity in the service sector of Great Britain also added optimism for the players;
 
- USD/JPY. The scale that determines the quotes of this pair, on the one hand has the super soft monetary policy of the Bank of Japan, and on the other - the trade wars raging on the continents, as a result of which more and more investors choose the currency of this island state as a refuge.
Proceeding from this, most experts, supported by graphical analysis on D1, expected the continuation of fluctuations in quotations and the struggle between bulls and bears. According to their forecast, the pair had first to rise to the horizon of 111.45 (it grew to 111.15), and then go down to support 110.00 (in fact it reached the level of 110.27). Then another cycle of fluctuations followed, and the pair completed the five-day period at 110.46, confirming its strive for consolidation in zone 110.10;
 
- Cryptocurrencies. After the jump on June 30, the pair BTC/USD continued to grow and managed to even reach $6,780, after which it rolled back down. Recall that the optimistic forecast for the past week said that if bitcoin confidently overcame the level of $6,700, it would be a strong enough signal to the long-awaited trend change. However, despite a significant growth, there has been no real breakthrough of this resistance, and the level of $6,600 can be considered as the Pivot Point of the last days.
Following the bitcoin, the Ethereum (ETH/USD) showed a certain growth, although the level of $485 can be considered the upper limit of a two-month down channel. And, in case of a rebound from it, the pair can fall to the price of 360 dollars per coin.
As for the Litecoin (LTC/USD) and the Ripple (XRP/USD), they moved into a sideways trend, ending the week in the same place where it started.
 

As for the forecast for the coming week, summarizing the opinions of a number of analysts, as well as forecasts made on the basis of a variety of methods of technical and graphical analysis, we can say the following:
 
- 60% of experts, supported by graphical analysis on D1, believe that the growth of the EUR/USD may continue, but it will be a small one. The level 1.1800 is named as the main resistance. The next resistance is 50 points higher. Next, during July, the pair again expects a decline to the support of 1.1500 and another attempt to break through it.15% of oscillators on H4 and D1 agree with this development of events, giving signals that the pair is overbought.
No "revolutionary" news is expected next week. However, we should pay attention to Thursday July 12. On this day data on the growth rates of industrial production in the Eurozone will be published, as well as statistics on the consumer price index in the United States. According to analysts, the rate of inflation in the US over the past month has accelerated, which could push the Fed to another interest rate hike and, as a result, render additional support to the dollar;

- For the pair GBP/USD the graphical analysis on H4 and D1 draws a rebound from support 1.3225, growth to the 1.3400 zone and the subsequent sharp drop to the horizon of 1.3000. As for the experts, in the current situation they are waiting for news from the UK.
Thus, on Tuesday July 10 data on the growth rates of industrial production for May will be published, and if it turns out that the April recession is completely overcome, the pound may rise above the 1.3300 mark.
Another speech by the head of the Bank of England may provide support for the British currency on Wednesday July 11, if Mark Carney again talks about the forthcoming tightening of the monetary policy.
The government of Great Britain can play against the pound. In the near future, it must submit its draft agreement on Brexit to the EU, and if it does not contain any important aspects for the economy of the country, the pound may again be under serious pressure;
 
- USD/JPY. The trade war between the US and China is again in full swing. On July 6, the duties on imported Chinese goods mounting to 25% entered into force. Washington is expected to increase sanctions by another $200 billion, to which China threatens to respond by selling off US treasury securities.
Against this background, as already mentioned, there is a growing demand for the yen, as a safe shelter currency. The pair USD/JPY rose by about 6.7% over the past four months. As for the upcoming week, most analysts (60%) expect the continuation of its growth to the level of 111.40. The remaining 40% believe that the pair has moved to a lateral movement and will be held in channel 109.35-110.80. The next support is at the level of 108.65;
 
- Cryptocurrencies. The major question for the near future is whether the bitcoin continues its growth or rolls back. At present, it is clearly aiming at overcoming the $7,000 mark, and buyers are not leaving the market yet. However, even now indicators show that this cryptocurrency is overbought, and, in case of any negative news, the trend can very quickly turn from bullish to bearish, returning the pair to the June lows.
On the other hand, a number of experts predict the continuation of the growth of the BTC/USD, naming as one of the numerous reasons the comeback of many investors disappointed in altcoins to this cryptocurrency, the long absence of bad news, and, paradoxically, the low volume of trading. The latter means that the desperate have already left the ship, and those who wish to sell these coins are extremely few. There remain only those who, no matter what, are ready to keep the bitcoin either till the full victory or the complete collapse. That is why the optimists keep saying that by the end of the year BTC will cost at least $50,000 (Arthur Hayes, BitMEX), or at least $25,000 (Tom Lee, FundStrat).


Roman Butko, NordFX


Notice: These materials should not be deemed a recommendation for investment or guidance for working on financial markets: they are for informative purposes only. Trading on financial markets is risky and can lead to a loss of money deposited.

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